Odds in Blackjack

Blackjack odds Blackjack is a card game with certain mathematical probabilities. To fully understand the process of playing blackjack, the player needs to understand all of his chances. It is very important to know what the chances of getting the right card or blackjack are equal to. Below we will consider the probabilities in blackjack.

The house edge in blackjack is eight percent. Experienced players who play by basic strategy reduce the house edge to 0.5%. So, to play blackjack, you need to master the card counting system well and, then, perhaps, it will be possible to reduce the expectation of loss.

Below is a table for determining the chances of a possible bust of 21 points. Relying on these numbers, you can accurately determine your ability to win. The numbers show what are the chances, when drawing one more card, to score more than 21 points, i.e. whether or not to take another card.

Total amount of cards in hand Exceeded percentage,%
21 100
20 92
19 85
18 77
17 69
16 62
15 58
14 56
13 39
12 31
11 0

You can also give indicators of the probabilities of dealing cards. Statistics show that the appearance of a blackjack at the player's first two cards is 4.8%, and the most frequent drop of points is 12, at which it is necessary to make a decision about the further game.

The number of points on the first two cards Handing probability,%
21 blackjack 4,8
17 - 20 end of card collection 30
12-16 decision required 38.7
Cards without brute force 26.5

Next, consider the table, which shows the dealer's chances of busting depending on the open card. It can be seen from the table that the dealer is most likely to go over when he has a five open card. It is also worth noting that the player's chances of winning in blackjack are minimal when the dealer has a ten-point card.

Dealer card Dealer's chances of busting,%
2 35,30
3 37,56
4 40,28
5 42,89
6 42,08
7 25,99
8 23,86
9 23,34
10 21,43
J 21,43
Q 21,43
K 21,43
A 11,65

Now you can talk about the dealer's chances for a certain amount of points. Usually, according to the rules of the casino, the dealer is obliged to take a card at sixteen points, and stop playing at seventeen points. This is a classic version of blackjack, and therefore the rules may differ in some casinos. It can be seen from the table that the dealer's bust occurs in 28% of cases and the most probable combination for the dealer is 20 points, the probability of its occurrence is 17.58%.

Dealer combination The probability of this combination,%
Blackjack 4,82
21 and more cards 7,36
20 17,58
19 13,48
18 13,81
17 14,58
Overkill 28.37

Blackjack is considered to be a profitable game for players. But in any case, the casino will not miss its profit, so you need to make decisions soberly and judiciously.